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10-06-2013, 06:50 PM
An honorable member of the Coffee Shop Has Just Posted the Following:
To me this is a story of numbers that is not completely told. Two dengue deaths out of nine thousand cases and this is not counting those who had the fever but no measurable fever. Simple probability of no worse than 0.02% How do you think most people would think?
He would think the chance of falling ill to Dengue is small and it is likely that someone else who would die rather than him. To me this is what make the problem so difficult to eradicate. We have a false sense of safety.
What mozzie wipe out? The story and danger must be much better told.
And my simple probability calculations is wrong because it grossly oversimplifies the story. We are actually looking a situation with a potential of going exponential or in layman's terms ballistic. This risk is not widely made know to the population. Not a bad idea to frighten people a little with the truth.
We can't win this one unless we work together.
- http://blogging4myself.blogspot.sg/2...ry-around.html (http://blogging4myself.blogspot.sg/2013/06/dengue-is-incomplete-story-around.html)
Click here to view the whole thread at www.sammyboy.com (http://sammyboy.com/showthread.php?154125-The-hidden-dangers-of-the-way-the-MSM-is-reporting-the-dengue-deaths&goto=newpost).
To me this is a story of numbers that is not completely told. Two dengue deaths out of nine thousand cases and this is not counting those who had the fever but no measurable fever. Simple probability of no worse than 0.02% How do you think most people would think?
He would think the chance of falling ill to Dengue is small and it is likely that someone else who would die rather than him. To me this is what make the problem so difficult to eradicate. We have a false sense of safety.
What mozzie wipe out? The story and danger must be much better told.
And my simple probability calculations is wrong because it grossly oversimplifies the story. We are actually looking a situation with a potential of going exponential or in layman's terms ballistic. This risk is not widely made know to the population. Not a bad idea to frighten people a little with the truth.
We can't win this one unless we work together.
- http://blogging4myself.blogspot.sg/2...ry-around.html (http://blogging4myself.blogspot.sg/2013/06/dengue-is-incomplete-story-around.html)
Click here to view the whole thread at www.sammyboy.com (http://sammyboy.com/showthread.php?154125-The-hidden-dangers-of-the-way-the-MSM-is-reporting-the-dengue-deaths&goto=newpost).